Stephen Vilardo’s Week 12 SuperWest Games to Watch


Posted on January 25, 2023





  By Stephen Vilardo, SuperWest Sports activities

A little lighter week for the ultimate full week of January.

The Pac-12 sees single convention video games for the California colleges because the journey companions are matched up. Solely two Thursday WCC video games to select from as effectively this week.

We’ll get began in a rush, although, with Utah State and San Diego State in what may very well be the second-best recreation on our schedule this week.

Maybe getting a run for that title from our second recreation, the crosstown rivalry bringing UCLA to the Galen Heart.

For the marquee recreation, I feel we should wait till the very finish of the week when Nevada welcomes the Aztecs to Reno.

Utah State at San Diego State

Wednesday, January 25
8:00 pm PT, CBS Sports activities

Another massive one within the Mountain West to open our week. Contrasting types might be on show at Viejas Area.

The Aggies are bringing the offense and the Aztecs are supplying the protection. Utah State is averaging 83.6 factors, 18.8 assists and taking pictures 51.5% from the ground of their 16 wins this season.

Within the losses, they drop to 68.6 factors, 12.8 assists, and 39.3% from the ground.

This season SDSU is limiting opponents to an help charge of 45.2% whereas forcing a turnover on 20.6% of possessions.

The Aggies additionally begin their offense with protection in wins, proudly owning 5.1 steals per recreation within the wins vs 3.3 within the losses.

San Diego State is twenty seventh within the nation in adjusted protection.

Utah State is simply 1-8 all-time vs the Aztecs in San Diego, however the Aggies have claimed 4 of the final six conferences total.

No. 8 UCLA at USCusc logo

Thursday, January 26
6:00 pm PT, ESPN2

The Bruins haven’t collected a win on the Galen Heart since 2018.

Regardless of dropping the sport in Tucson, UCLA continues to be 14-1 of their final 15 video games and has held every of these 15 opponents to below 70 factors.

The Bruins are second within the nation with a median of 10.1 extra scoring probabilities per recreation than their opponents, USC is –2.2 in the identical class rating 279th.

Turnovers play an enormous half within the ranks for each groups. UCLA is 14th nationally with a turnover charge of 14.3% whereas USC is 243rd at 19.1%.

Defensively the Bruins are forcing a turnover on 24.5% of possessions, the eighth-best mark within the nation, whereas the Trojans are 146th at 18.7%.

USC will defend the rim inside because the Trojans are thirteenth with a blocked shot charge of 9.3%.

The Bruins personal a two-game lead within the Pac-12 standings, and USC is among the groups sitting with two extra losses.

This can be a probability for USC to even the rating and make it a race whereas UCLA, for the third straight recreation, has one other probability to place distance on a rival.

Arizona football Pac-12No. 6 Arizona at Washington State

Thursday, January 26
8:00 pm PT, FS1

Arizona’s most perplexing recreation this season is the loss at residence to Washington State. The groups will meet once more in Pullman for the rematch.

Within the first one, the Cougars shot 42.9% on three-pointers for the sport whereas Arizona related on simply 4-of-25 for 16.0%. The second probability factors have been +10 in favor of the Wildcats, abd factors on the foul line went +5 for Arizona.

The distinction was the chances which allowed WSU to be +8 on three-pointers and Arizona missed 11 free throws whereas WSU solely failed on two, Arizona left 9 free factors off the board, seven greater than the Cougars in a 13-point loss.

WSU scores 37.8% of their factors off threes, the twenty sixth most within the nation whereas Arizona 33.7% of the factors Arizona is permitting comes from threes—267th within the nation.

The Cats’ protection is strong in opposition to twos as opponents are simply over 50% on non-blocked two-pointers. If the Cougars are to drag off the upset once more it will likely be via the three-ball.

Arizona State at WashingtonWashington football pac-12

Thursday, January 26
8:00 pm PT, ESPNU

This is a big week for the Solar Devils. They want a robust end to the season to get an NCAA Event bid and an excellent week within the Pacific Northwest would go a protracted method to solidifying issues.

The Solar Devils have an opportunity to brush the Washington street journey for the primary time since 2003.

Washington is 7-3 in opposition to ASU in Seattle since 2009. The Huskies lead the Pac-12 and are ninth within the nation with a blocked shot charge of 9.6% this season.

Arizona State has gotten 5.6% of its pictures blocked this season, rating 181st within the nation.

The Huskies see opponents get a median of 4.4 extra scoring probabilities per recreation than UW is, 339th within the nation.

Colorado State at Boise State

Saturday, January 28
5:00 pm PT, CBS Sports activities

Colorado State sits with a sub-.500 document total and simply two convention wins however could be a scary opponent.

The Rams have held their final three opponents to simply 41.4% from the sphere.

Boise State is among the finest defensive groups within the nation, having allowed an opponent to achieve 80 factors solely as soon as all season, the additional time loss to New Mexico.

BSU has the ninth-best adjusted protection rank within the nation and is permitting simply 62.0 factors per recreation, with simply 31.7 coming after halftime. The 14th-best second-half scoring protection within the nation.

The Broncos’ 6.2 common scoring margin within the second half is the 14th finest within the nation and one of the best of any Mountain West crew. The Broncos enter this one having gained 9 in a row at ExtraMile Area.

Utah at OregonOregon Ducks Logo Pac-12

Saturday, January 28
5:00 pm PT, Pac-12

The Utes head to Oregon having re-found their profitable methods following a three-game dropping streak. The Geese look to get issues proper once more following a seven-point loss at Stanford.

Every of those groups has a Thursday recreation forward of this one with Utah at OSU and Oregon internet hosting Colorado. That is going to be a show-me recreation.

Each groups should really feel that is winnable, and each groups ought to enter with wins within the reverse recreation on Thursday (The Geese could not be capable to win in Boulder—1-11 all-time however personal a 9-3 mark over the Buffs in Eugene).

One among these groups wants to point out they’re for actual. Oregon can’t afford a house loss right here and Utah has the prospect to steal one on the street.

Utah limits opponents to 37.4% from the ground, fifth finest within the nation. Oregon has shot 50% from the ground of their final three video games however struggled at Stanford taking pictures simply 37.9% within the loss.

Branden Carlson enters the week having scored 24.6 factors within the final three video games because the seven-footer related on seven of 11 threes in these outings.

No. 22 Saint Mary’s at BYU

Saturday, January 28
7:00 pm PT, ESPN2

Saint Mary’s has gained 9 straight video games, the fifth-longest energetic streak within the nation coming into the week.

The Cougars have gained the final three conferences in Provo and BYU has taken 12 of 17 all-time conferences with SMC on their residence flooring.

The Gaels’ protection continued to be the story this season, final day trip they outscored Santa Clara 24-4 on factors off turnovers.

The Gaels are limiting opponents to 56.9 factors per recreation, the fourth-best mark within the nation.

The Cougars are coming off a pair of losses final week and have misplaced three of their final 4 video games.

BYU did discover some offense final week in Rudi Williams who has averaged 27.0 factors per recreation in his final two video games after averaging simply 6.0 factors per recreation in his first six WCC video games this season.

Aidan Mahaney is averaging 15.0 factors per recreation for Saint Mary’s, the fifth-highest-scoring freshman within the nation.

In residence video games in opposition to ranked opponents below Mark Pope, BYU is averaging 73.3 factors per recreation whereas taking pictures 43.8 p.c from the sphere.

They are going to actually want these varieties of numbers in the event that they hope to get the upset on this one.

Nevada at UNLV

Saturday, January 28
7:00 pm PT, CBS Sports activities

UNLV will attempt to pressure turnovers and has been significantly good at it this season, with a turnover-forced charge of 26.7%, the second-best within the nation this season.

Nevada does a wonderful job of protecting possession. The Wolf Pack are turning it over on simply 15.2% of their possessions, the Twenty fourth-best charge within the nation.

Within the double additional time win over UNM, the Pack’s turnover charge was simply 10.1%.

A key to this one might be if the Rebels could be aggressive with out fouling. Regardless of creating havoc, UNLV has not given up lots of factors on the stripe this season with simply 15.1% of opponents scoring coming off freebies.

Nevada is eighth within the nation with 23.6% of their factors coming from the FT line.

UNLV is getting a median of 6.4 extra scoring probabilities per recreation than opponents and is at 10.3 in its final three.

Nevada is round 1.6 on the season however created 14 extra alternatives for themselves than New Mexico did on Monday night time.

Cal at Stanford

Saturday, January 28
7:00 pm PT, ESPNU

Cal erupted for 92 factors of their 22-point win over Stanford a number of weeks in the past. The 92-points in that recreation have been simply 11 fewer than Cal scored in each conferences with Stanford final season.

The Bears will look to brush the common season collection from the Cardinal for the primary time since 2010. To take action they might want to win inside Maples Pavilion for simply the sixth time of their final 25 journeys.

Each groups are struggling this season. I don’t assume a lot was anticipated within the preseason from Cal, however Stanford had larger expectations.

The Cardinal enter on a excessive notice with the win final week over an Oregon crew that appeared to be discovering one thing and will dispatch Chicago State with ease on Wednesday night time—if not then Stanford has a ton of issues.

Stanford ought to enter the rivalry driving a three-game win streak.

Each Stanford and Cal have struggled with turnovers this season, the Cardinal have a turnover charge of 19.5% whereas the Bears are turning it over on 20.3% of possessions—each groups hovering across the 300 mark nationally.

Within the first assembly, they each gave it away ten occasions, however the Bears turned it into 18 factors whereas Stanford did much less with them, getting simply 10 factors off TOs. I’d search for the turnover battle to determine this one once more.

Pepperdine at Loyola Marymount

Saturday, January 28
8:00 pm PT, Bally Sports activities So Cal

Loyola Marymount should deal with the accolades that go together with being named the Nationwide Staff of the Week. Portland will play a go to to LA previous to this one.

Pepperdine has an eight-game dropping streak heading into the week, the seventh-longest streak within the nation. That streak might go by the wayside Thursday in opposition to San Diego in Malibu.

The Waves misplaced by simply three to the Toreros on the street earlier this season.

Whatever the end result Thursday, Pepperdine will enter this one having misplaced their final 21 street video games, the second-longest streak within the nation.

Relying on their end result on Thursday the Waves may additionally enter this recreation having misplaced their final 15 WCC video games, the third-longest convention dropping streak within the nation.

Loyola Marymount noticed a number of large streaks fall final week at Gonzaga. The Lions will need to see them proceed this week.

Final week I discussed that I preferred streaks and tendencies…this one falls into that class.

However I’m additionally wanting to see how the Lions can carry out following the street win in opposition to the Zags, particularly in a recreation they need to be capable to win with ease.

San Diego State at Nevada

Tuesday, January 31
8:00 pm PT, CBS Sports activities

The Aztecs will enter this recreation with a seven-game win streak in street video games, the third-longest streak within the nation.

Nevada has gained their final ten video games contained in the Lawlor Occasions Heart.

This one is on the finish of our week and lots can occur between from time to time. Every of those groups has massive video games forward of this one with the Aztecs internet hosting Utah State and Nevada heading to Vegas for UNLV.

However each groups have an opportunity to be sitting with seven convention wins coming into the matchup. This one seems prefer it might give the winner an inside observe on the common season race.

Observe Stephen on Twitter @StephenVilardo and his group @SERCenter.

Go to his web site at sercstats.com.


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